Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 8.903653 10.227868 11.703234 13.472707 15.542338 17.892469 20.771854
2025-02-02 7.241575 8.964030 11.047565 13.767956 17.247330 21.576467 27.414636
2025-02-09 6.358077 8.311663 10.822035 14.314138 19.093056 25.471463 34.742411
2025-02-16 5.424646 7.398250 10.056891 13.944954 19.560832 27.493297 39.751859
2025-02-23 4.793499 6.779237 9.565170 13.820428 20.264641 29.835491 45.460591
2025-03-02 4.290466 6.264115 9.133936 13.689746 20.887553 32.072652 51.270046
2025-03-09 3.857091 5.793028 8.699295 13.475700 21.316826 34.015170 56.837143
2025-03-16 3.469857 5.345379 8.242957 13.156925 21.510602 35.561446 61.914279
2025-03-23 3.327902 5.262006 8.339757 13.731839 23.238319 39.877228 72.525629
2025-03-30 3.123358 5.054451 8.209619 13.901227 24.271616 43.091849 81.582784
2025-04-06 2.898281 4.789645 7.954803 13.818638 24.830348 45.493519 89.414035
2025-04-13 2.686075 4.526184 7.674928 13.655487 25.209564 47.586036 96.925378
2025-04-20 2.592212 4.462772 7.743438 14.149480 26.924133 52.558355 111.478443
2025-04-27 2.477757 4.351907 7.715409 14.456255 28.307116 57.054458 125.812184
2025-05-04 2.409060 4.317062 7.821578 15.032268 30.306639 63.121737 144.895824
2025-05-11 2.224519 4.050236 7.465842 14.642563 30.220380 64.630944 153.283135
2025-05-18 2.088427 3.863918 7.247883 14.511139 30.673811 67.408021 165.351620
2025-05-25 1.963935 3.689697 7.037959 14.373228 31.092913 70.158332 177.869042
2025-06-01 1.841037 3.508785 6.798981 14.147359 31.281671 72.381438 189.392637
2025-06-08 1.717587 3.317300 6.522575 13.811015 31.170339 73.850061 199.096189
2025-06-15 1.693796 3.326186 6.661103 14.417649 33.394380 81.535784 228.386655
2025-06-22 1.631817 3.251035 6.615409 14.596410 34.587323 86.722181 251.316273
2025-06-29 1.551388 3.130967 6.463095 14.509250 35.096642 90.150785 269.506002